Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 23.738462 26.936241 30.428535 34.529296 39.217535 44.415800 50.624436
2025-01-26 19.425697 23.877095 29.160577 35.910948 44.331167 54.520221 67.833920
2025-02-02 16.746698 21.966158 28.596760 37.677768 49.854572 65.706836 88.053299
2025-02-09 14.417850 19.959968 27.410427 38.226987 53.644641 75.003433 107.136183
2025-02-16 12.285047 17.804060 25.589482 37.470969 55.321066 81.417318 122.968686
2025-02-23 10.671958 16.101833 24.093764 36.842402 56.914024 87.707125 139.307878
2025-03-02 9.417907 14.733130 22.861166 36.356644 58.528196 94.072808 156.496399
2025-03-09 8.491699 13.733348 22.036180 36.342237 60.793663 101.635592 176.587902
2025-03-16 7.690760 12.824572 21.225022 36.204494 62.765537 108.863153 197.022620
2025-03-23 7.271672 12.490133 21.302165 37.548982 67.410088 121.217225 228.385891
2025-03-30 6.710647 11.842045 20.759927 37.713094 69.918874 129.997663 254.251401
2025-04-06 6.066974 10.973484 19.727843 36.844368 70.364333 134.928715 273.206570
2025-04-13 5.534908 10.267120 18.941397 36.398775 71.675991 141.914649 297.907881
2025-04-20 5.281578 10.054861 19.050950 37.704952 76.646427 156.899544 342.022565
2025-04-27 5.104593 9.968168 19.387738 39.502706 82.864576 175.331733 396.831497
2025-05-04 4.804652 9.604588 19.137488 40.055648 86.512651 188.778818 442.543456
2025-05-11 4.399197 8.983242 18.298183 39.252246 87.076675 195.472399 473.338730
2025-05-18 4.050181 8.441945 17.565536 38.588647 87.858538 202.749261 506.770397
2025-05-25 3.750116 7.973182 16.936145 38.077251 88.918439 210.809400 543.553537
2025-06-01 3.519604 7.631274 16.544625 38.061616 91.151517 222.005550 590.521370
2025-06-08 3.299881 7.290834 16.120466 37.916793 93.045672 232.617611 637.771046
2025-06-15 3.210432 7.235258 16.333147 39.328457 99.038587 254.579399 720.912061
2025-06-22 3.041868 6.979971 16.057454 39.500758 101.854310 268.580235 783.523871